Eurovision 2026 Betting Odds
Live win probabilities sourced from Smarkets, updated daily. Current favourite: Finland at 21.3% win probability.
Updated about 2 hours ago
Win Chance
21.3%
Fractional
37/10
Decimal
4.70
Win Chance
16.7%
Fractional
5/1
Decimal
6.00
Win Chance
15.6%
Fractional
27/5
Decimal
6.40
Win Chance
12.5%
Fractional
7/1
Decimal
8.00
Win Chance
10.4%
Fractional
43/5
Decimal
9.60
Win Chance
5.9%
Fractional
16/1
Decimal
17.01
Win Chance
4.8%
Fractional
20/1
Decimal
21.01
Win Chance
4.8%
Fractional
20/1
Decimal
21.01
Win Chance
4.0%
Fractional
24/1
Decimal
25.00
Win Chance
3.9%
Fractional
499/20
Decimal
25.97
Win Chance
3.9%
Fractional
499/20
Decimal
25.97
Win Chance
2.9%
Fractional
33/1
Decimal
34.01
Win Chance
2.5%
Fractional
39/1
Decimal
40.00
Win Chance
2.5%
Fractional
39/1
Decimal
40.00
Win Chance
2.1%
Fractional
565/12
Decimal
48.08
Win Chance
2.1%
Fractional
565/12
Decimal
48.08
Win Chance
2.0%
Fractional
49/1
Decimal
50.00
Win Chance
1.4%
Fractional
1103/16
Decimal
69.93
Win Chance
1.3%
Fractional
79/1
Decimal
80.00
Win Chance
1.2%
Fractional
335/4
Decimal
84.75
Win Chance
1.1%
Fractional
377/4
Decimal
95.24
Win Chance
1.0%
Fractional
99/1
Decimal
100.00
Win Chance
1.0%
Fractional
99/1
Decimal
100.00
Win Chance
0.9%
Fractional
1089/10
Decimal
109.89
Win Chance
0.8%
Fractional
1031/8
Decimal
129.87
Win Chance
0.8%
Fractional
1031/8
Decimal
129.87
Win Chance
0.7%
Fractional
593/4
Decimal
149.25
Win Chance
0.5%
Fractional
3003/16
Decimal
188.68
Win Chance
0.4%
Fractional
1573/6
Decimal
263.16
Win Chance
0.3%
Fractional
6041/20
Decimal
303.03
Win Chance
0.3%
Fractional
6041/20
Decimal
303.03
Win Chance
0.3%
Fractional
6041/20
Decimal
303.03
Win Chance
0.3%
Fractional
6041/20
Decimal
303.03
Win Chance
0.2%
Fractional
499/1
Decimal
500.00
Odds data sourced exclusively from Smarkets and updated regularly. Win probabilities are for informational purposes only and do not represent guaranteed outcomes. Eurovision Central does not accept bets and does not endorse gambling in any form.
18+ · Gamble Responsibly
Gambling can be harmful. If you or someone you know is affected by problem gambling, free help is available: BeGambleAware.org · GamCare.org.uk · National Gambling Helpline: 0808 8020 133 (free, 24/7)
Full Eurovision 2026 Standings
Win probabilities and decimal odds for all competing countries, ranked by likelihood of winning Eurovision 2026.
| # | Country | Win Chance | Decimal Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 21.3% | 4.70 |
| 2 | Denmark | 16.7% | 6.00 |
| 3 | Greece | 15.6% | 6.40 |
| 4 | Sweden | 12.5% | 8.00 |
| 5 | Israel | 10.4% | 9.60 |
| 6 | France | 5.9% | 17.01 |
| 7 | Bulgaria | 4.8% | 21.01 |
| 8 | Italy | 4.8% | 21.01 |
| 9 | Malta | 4.0% | 25.00 |
| 10 | Australia | 3.9% | 25.97 |
| 11 | Cyprus | 3.9% | 25.97 |
| 12 | United Kingdom | 2.9% | 34.01 |
| 13 | Norway | 2.5% | 40.00 |
| 14 | Ukraine | 2.5% | 40.00 |
| 15 | Germany | 2.1% | 48.08 |
| 16 | Luxembourg | 2.1% | 48.08 |
| 17 | Croatia | 2.0% | 50.00 |
| 18 | Serbia | 1.4% | 69.93 |
| 19 | San Marino | 1.3% | 80.00 |
| 20 | Azerbaijan | 1.2% | 84.75 |
| 21 | Armenia | 1.1% | 95.24 |
| 22 | Latvia | 1.0% | 100.00 |
| 23 | Switzerland | 1.0% | 100.00 |
| 24 | Georgia | 0.9% | 109.89 |
| 25 | Lithuania | 0.8% | 129.87 |
| 26 | Romania | 0.8% | 129.87 |
| 27 | Czechia | 0.7% | 149.25 |
| 28 | Poland | 0.5% | 188.68 |
| 29 | Estonia | 0.4% | 263.16 |
| 30 | Albania | 0.3% | 303.03 |
| 31 | Belgium | 0.3% | 303.03 |
| 32 | Moldova | 0.3% | 303.03 |
| 33 | Portugal | 0.3% | 303.03 |
| 34 | Montenegro | 0.2% | 500.00 |
Odds sourced from Smarkets · For informational purposes only · 18+ Gamble responsibly