Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 1 Odds

Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 1 Odds — Full Rankings

Probability of qualifying from Semi-Final 1.

1. 1. Finland — 98.6% probability, decimal odds 1.01.
2. 2. Sweden — 97.5% probability, decimal odds 1.03.
3. 3. Greece — 97.0% probability, decimal odds 1.03.
4. 4. Israel — 95.0% probability, decimal odds 1.05.
5. 5. Moldova — 89.5% probability, decimal odds 1.12.
6. 6. Croatia — 79.5% probability, decimal odds 1.26.
7. 7. Serbia — 76.5% probability, decimal odds 1.31.
8. 8. Lithuania — 66.0% probability, decimal odds 1.52.
9. 9. Montenegro — 56.5% probability, decimal odds 1.77.
10. 10. Poland — 47.0% probability, decimal odds 2.13.